Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.401936 0.531955 0.681500 0.863741 1.077346 1.317413 1.605200
2025-10-26 0.209718 0.356359 0.552377 0.821932 1.171506 1.598672 2.148950
2025-11-02 0.114360 0.256689 0.478694 0.819680 1.300871 1.928343 2.780353
2025-11-09 0.054991 0.175380 0.399440 0.784577 1.372789 2.184927 3.337486
2025-11-16 0.030618 0.139073 0.375739 0.821151 1.542905 2.580776 4.098972
2025-11-23 0.014204 0.103315 0.337482 0.822200 1.654766 2.898809 4.769795
2025-11-30 0.007801 0.088441 0.334913 0.882212 1.861275 3.362541 5.661997
2025-12-07 0.003527 0.072432 0.322266 0.918964 2.030276 3.777312 6.499841
2025-12-14 0.001117 0.056163 0.300350 0.931307 2.156171 4.130347 7.259561
2025-12-21 0.000142 0.040101 0.268601 0.914700 2.226827 4.398133 7.901037
2025-12-28 0.000003 0.030963 0.253088 0.929667 2.353307 4.757183 8.687141
2026-01-04 NaN 0.022895 0.234758 0.933128 2.456582 5.081100 9.427969
2026-01-11 NaN 0.014303 0.204286 0.900156 2.489219 5.295468 10.017525
2026-01-18 NaN 0.008690 0.179787 0.875841 2.535382 5.533455 10.650875
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005820 0.167620 0.883096 2.645650 5.883876 11.469219
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002928 0.144828 0.850883 2.668763 6.083626 12.054244
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002220 0.144728 0.892072 2.853055 6.571333 13.109362
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001221 0.134133 0.894460 2.951210 6.909264 13.931113
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001070 0.140396 0.958732 3.192502 7.509938 15.189256
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000747 0.139945 0.998014 3.378804 8.016401 16.303493
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000385 0.133102 1.011267 3.505588 8.418346 17.254674
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000109 0.119588 0.993770 3.558404 8.686075 17.990474
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000034 0.114504 1.009670 3.691322 9.104447 18.981537